Промышленные планшетные ПК Рассматривая отрасль производства оборудования в этом году, следует обратить внимание на шесть основных тенденций развития.
1. Рост производства и экспорта ускорился и увеличился
Since 2015, the recovery of developed economies has remained slow, the expansion of emerging economies has been weak, and the impact of non-economic factors such as geopolitics still exists. my country's economy is in the difficult process of converting old and new kinetic energy. Although the overall stable trend of economic operation has not changed, affected by the downward fluctuation of the market in major industries such as automobiles and the sluggish demand, the growth rate of added value of my country's equipment industry continued to hover at a low level in the first eight months. . In September and October, the automobile and other industries rebounded rapidly, and the growth rate of the equipment industry also stabilized and rebounded. From January to October, the industrial added value of equipment manufacturing enterprises above designated size increased by 5.2 percent year-on-year, lower than the national industrial level in the same period and less than half of the same period in 2014. It is expected that the growth rate of my country's equipment industry will continue to pick up throughout the year, but under the pressure of shrinking investment demand and foreign trade situation, the rate of recovery will be limited, and the annual growth rate in 2015 will be around 5.5 percent . In terms of exports, the growth rate of export delivery value from January to October showed a downward trend month by month, with a cumulative decrease of 2.15 percent year-on-year, and the decline in October decreased slightly, with a year-on-year decrease of 4.32 percent . It is expected that the export situation will remain severe throughout the year, and the cumulative year-on-year decrease in export delivery value will be around 2.5 percent .
It is expected that in 2016, under the stimulus of a series of policies at the beginning of the "Thirteenth Five-Year Plan", the downward pressure on my country's equipment industry will decrease. Although the international economic situation is still severe, with the gradual in-depth and accelerated implementation of my country's three major regional development strategies, the medium and long-term manufacturing power building strategy, and the acceleration of international production capacity and equipment manufacturing cooperation, new growth points, growth poles, and growth belts are gradually being implemented. Formed, the domestic economy will maintain a medium-high growth rate. Driven by this, my country's equipment industry will accelerate its development in 2016, and the growth rate of industrial added value will accelerate year-on-year, and it is expected to remain at around 7 percent throughout the year. In terms of exports, during the "13th Five-Year Plan" period, my country will cultivate and develop the equipment industry as a new export-led industry. At the same time, due to the decline in the export base in 2015, the growth rate of my country's equipment product exports is expected to pick up in 2016, and the export delivery value will achieve a year-on-year increase. It is expected that the cumulative growth rate for the whole year will be around 5 percent .
2. Темпы роста автомобильной промышленности продолжают расти и стабилизироваться.
Since 2015, my country's auto industry has accelerated its transformation. The growth rate of production and sales in the first seven months continued to decline, and the industry's downward pressure continued to increase. In August, as the effect of policy implementation began to appear and the new policies such as the halving of the purchase tax for passenger cars of 1.6 liters and below were introduced, the decline in the growth rate of automobile production and sales gradually decreased, and both recovered to positive growth in October. From January to October, production and sales were 19.2803 million and 19.2781 million, an increase of 0.02 percent and 1.51 percent year-on-year. Although they both slowed down significantly compared with the same period of the previous year, the monthly recovery trend is very obvious. Among them, the production and sales of passenger cars grew rapidly, with production and sales of 1,899,700 and 1,936,900 units in October, up 8.1 percent and 13.3 percent year-on-year respectively. The market share of self-owned brand passenger vehicles continued to grow. From January to October, the sales reached 6.7571 million units, a year-on-year increase of 12.6 percent , and the proportion of passenger vehicle sales increased by 3.2 percentage points compared with the same period of the previous year. The growth rate of new energy vehicle production and sales continued to climb. From January to October, a total of 181,225 units were produced and 171,145 units were sold, an increase of 2.7 times and 2.9 times year-on-year respectively. It is expected that under the promotion of policies, automobile production and sales will continue to recover rapidly during the year, and the annual growth rate of automobile production and sales will reach 4 percent and 3 percent .
It is expected that in 2016, due to the stabilization of macroeconomic growth and favorable policies, the growth rate of automobile production and sales will maintain a rapid recovery trend. However, the downward pressure on economic growth brought about by the adjustment of economic structure still exists. Due to the unfavorable factors of environmental protection and traffic congestion, travel restrictions and purchase restrictions continue to deepen, and the space for automobile recovery is limited. It is expected that the growth rate of automobile production and sales throughout the year will gradually stabilize and remain at 7 percent growth. With the strategic emphasis on new energy vehicles and the continuous implementation of multiple policies, local governments have vigorously promoted the application of new energy vehicles in order to control smog and save energy and reduce emissions. The production and sales of new energy vehicles in my country will continue to rise, driving technological innovation in the automotive industry and independent brands Cars are developing rapidly. At the same time, intelligent networked vehicles, driverless vehicles and new fuel cell vehicles driven by the "Internet" will also make new breakthroughs at the beginning of the "13th Five-Year Plan".
3. Машиностроение продолжает развиваться
Since 2015, the operation of my country's machinery industry has faced great difficulties. The growth rate of main indicators has hit a new low, and the overall trend has been sluggish. The performance of some industries is differentiated. From January to October, the added value of general equipment manufacturing increased by 3.2 percent year-on-year, special equipment manufacturing increased by 3.5 percent , electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing increased by 7.3 percent , and instrumentation manufacturing increased by 5.7 percent . The output of main general mechanical products such as pumps, gears, gas compressors, fans, etc. showed a decline in varying degrees; the output of metal cutting machine tools decreased by 8.2 percent year-on-year, of which the output of CNC metal cutting machine tools decreased by 9.8 percent year-on-year, and the metal forming machine tools decreased by 6 percent ; The output of construction machinery declined across the board, and the output of excavators and loaders fell by 24.5 percent and 28.9 percent year-on-year respectively; the output of traditional power generation equipment such as thermal power and wind power declined significantly, but the output of wind turbines increased by 15.8 percent year-on-year; the output of large tractors increased by 32.3 percent year-on-year. percent , medium-sized tractors rose 7.2 percent , but small tractor production fell 15.5 percent year-on-year.
Ожидается, что в 2016 году сохранятся неопределенные факторы, влияющие на экономическую деятельность отрасли, и машиностроение все еще будет подвергаться серьезным испытаниям. Однако с постепенным внедрением политики макро-контроля и постепенным улучшением макроэкономической ситуации тенденция к снижению машиностроения постепенно стабилизируется. Кроме того, накапливаются и положительные факторы для развития отрасли, и некоторые предприятия, отрасли и регионы, рано начавшие структурную перестройку, будут ускоряться. В то же время некоторые отрасли машиностроения будут продолжать расти и дифференцироваться: традиционные инвестиционные продукты, такие как строительная техника, тяжелая техника, горнодобывающая техника, нефтехимическое оборудование, традиционное оборудование для производства электроэнергии, а также производственные мощности станков, двигателей переменного тока, низко{{ 2}}электроприборы, работающие под напряжением, провода и кабели, а также малые и средние-общие сельскохозяйственные машины. Относительно избыточные отрасли промышленности продолжат тенденцию к снижению, а новая сельскохозяйственная техника,-оборудование для энергосбережения и защиты окружающей среды, оборудование для защиты культурных реликвий и современное логистическое оборудование, которые в основном поддерживаются, будут быстро увеличиваться.
В-четвертых, судостроительная промышленность будет постепенно улучшаться
В 2015 году из-за спада на мировом рынке морских перевозок рост судов и оффшорной техники оказался под большим давлением. Хотя завершение судостроения в моей стране стабилизировалось и восстановилось в начале года, из-за вялой тенденции предыдущего года, новые заказы на судостроение продолжали резко снижаться из года-к-году. , что привело к отрицательному росту заказов на отгрузку с марта, а три основных индикатора показали одно увеличение и два снижения. ситуация. Кроме того, цена на новые суда продолжает колебаться на низком уровне, а на первый план выходят такие проблемы, как трудности с поставкой и финансированием судостроительных предприятий, экономическая выгода снизилась, а судостроительная отрасль находится в тяжелом положении. С января по октябрь объем завершенного судостроения в стране составил 32,87 млн тонн дедвейта, увеличившись -к-году на 15,4 процента. Количество полученных заказов на новые суда составило 20,38 млн тонн дедвейта, что означает снижение --года на 62,1% . По состоянию на конец октября заказы на суда составили 132,01 млн тонн дедвейта, что на 14% меньше-по-году. Сосредоточьтесь на мониторинге общей стоимости промышленного производства и операционных доходов судостроительных предприятий для поддержания устойчивого роста, а стоимость экспортных поставок снизилась. В то же время рынок оффшорного инженерного оборудования также значительно сократился.
It is expected that in 2016, a new round of major adjustments in the international shipping market will continue to deepen, the characteristics of the industrial adjustment cycle will continue to emerge, the demand structure will undergo some trend changes, the demand for conventional ship types such as bulk carriers will remain weak, and the demand for offshore engineering equipment and high-tech ships will continue to grow. stabilized and rebounded. At the same time, affected by the higher standards of ship energy efficiency and emissions, new energy-saving and environmentally friendly bulk carriers, container ships, and oil tankers are expected to become the main body of market demand. LNG ships and LPG ships will maintain strong demand. Demand growth such as cruise ships will be evident. On the whole, affected by the base level in 2015 and the general environment of the "13th Five-Year Plan", the growth rate of shipbuilding completions in 2016 will continue to pick up and stabilize, the year-on-year decline in new orders will be significantly reduced, and the decline in hand-held orders will be further narrowed. .
5. Умное производство продолжает ускорять развитие
Since 2015, smart manufacturing has received unprecedented policy attention. The "Made in China 2025" and "Internet" actions focus on deploying intelligent manufacturing, proposing to vigorously develop intelligent manufacturing, carry out pilot demonstrations of intelligent manufacturing, implement major intelligent manufacturing projects, etc., and focus on promoting intelligent manufacturing processes. Sino-German cooperation in intelligent manufacturing and Industry 4.0 has entered a practical stage, and a regular working mechanism has been formally established. The rapid development of new formats and new models represented by smart factories, digital workshops, additive manufacturing technology applications and large-scale personalized customization, network collaborative development, online monitoring, remote diagnosis and cloud services, industrial robots, service robots, and new sensors , The application of intelligent equipment and products such as intelligent instrumentation and control systems, wearable devices, smart home appliances, and smart grids continues to expand, and the demand scale is rapidly expanding.
It is expected that in 2016, with the "Thirteenth Five-Year Plan" to raise intelligent manufacturing to a new height, the promotion route of intelligent manufacturing in various fields will be further clarified, and Sino-German cooperation will be further deepened, and an open, shared and collaborative intelligent manufacturing industry ecosystem will be built. Promote intelligent upgrading of production equipment, optimization and transformation of technological processes, all-round sharing of basic data, and continuous breakthroughs in key intelligent equipment, products, and core components, and promote new-generation information and communication technology, high-end equipment, energy-saving and new energy vehicles, power equipment, and agricultural machinery equipment. , new materials, biomedicine and high-performance medical equipment and other industries continue to grow and develop, and gradually form a new manufacturing system. And further rely on intelligent manufacturing to innovate industrial formats and development models, and cultivate new growth points in the industry.
6. Новые разработки в сфере инноваций и разработки-высокотехнологичного оборудования.
In 2015, in response to changes in domestic and foreign market demand, the equipment manufacturing industry continued to transform and upgrade, and the development of high-end equipment achieved remarkable results. The output value of high-end equipment manufacturing industry accounted for a gradual increase in the proportion of equipment manufacturing industry. "Made in China 2025" clearly takes the high-end equipment innovation project as one of the five projects guided and promoted by the government, and proposes to organize the implementation of large aircraft, aero engines and gas turbines, civil aerospace, intelligent green trains, energy-saving and new energy vehicles, marine engineering equipment and High-tech ships, complete sets of smart grid equipment, CNC machine tools, nuclear power equipment, high-end diagnosis and treatment equipment and a number of special projects and major projects for innovation and industrialization. The purpose is to concentrate resources, make overall plans, break through bottlenecks, improve innovation and development capabilities and international competitiveness, and seize the commanding heights of competition.
Становится все более очевидным, что инновации и разработка высококлассного-оборудования для промышленных планшетных компьютеров стали главной тенденцией производственной отрасли будущего. моя страна будет активно внедрять-инновационную стратегию развития, сосредоточится на создании новых двигателей и поддерживающих платформ для развития и ускорит создание новых движущих сил экономического роста. Благодаря научным и технологическим инновациям в качестве основы, платформе общественных услуг в качестве поддержки и крупным специальным проектам в качестве отправной точки, инновации и разработка высокотехнологичного-оборудования, предназначенного для промышленного применения, будут ускорены, а ряд знаковых а запуск ключевых продуктов и основного оборудования будет ускорен. Компоновка, независимый уровень проектирования и способность системной интеграции, исследования основных компонентов и уровень технологии разработки постепенно улучшались, а способность к промышленным инновациям постоянно улучшалась. Партия первой (комплектов) высокотехнологичной-техники будет опробована и продемонстрирована в сферах народнохозяйственного строительства, социального производства и быта, оборонного строительства. Путь и модель промышленного развития совершит прорыв, приведет к корректировке, трансформации и модернизации традиционных отраслей и будет способствовать строительству нашей страны. Новые конкурентные преимущества в обрабатывающей промышленности и более прочная основа для создания мощного производственного центра.
